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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 683.44₸

Invest 6 852.35₸

Average return 9 535.79₸

ROI +39.2%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 16 311.07 ₸, profit at most −6 775.28 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0793

923.65 ₸

at 230.91

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

4 260.10 ₸

at 852.02

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1769

1 668.60 ₸

at 1 668.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 852.35 ₸ +2 683.44 (+39.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

6 128.67 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

20 684.54 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 902.32 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

2 813.17 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 929.64 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

7 973.40 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

10 343.02 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 055.46 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 982.53 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Arms Deal 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248551 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 2 655.67₸ · invest 7 003.25₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076222 instead of 0.079371; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005444 instead of 0.008199
Craft 2248206 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 2 570.23₸ · invest 7 549.84₸
profit on prices without salesat least −555 ₸ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Demeter (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076987 instead of 0.079371; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006114 instead of 0.008199

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build