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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +254.90₴

Invest 521.64₴

Average return 776.54₴

ROI +48.9%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 1 276.31 ₴, profit at most −499.77 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

91.49 ₴

at 22.87

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

421.99 ₴

at 84.40

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Resupply

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

8.15 ₴

at 8.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 521.64 ₴ +254.90 (+48.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.036820

607.08 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

2 048.94 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

287.49 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.041975

88.08 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.058839

138.63 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

46.76 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165.42 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

59.44 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +124.55 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +188.48 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248673 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 254.34₴ · invest 529.87₴
R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075163 instead of 0.075995; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004517 instead of 0.005245
Craft 2248263 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 253.56₴ · invest 523.91₴
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) instead of MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075548 instead of 0.075995; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004855 instead of 0.005245

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build