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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Inferno Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +926.61₴

Invest 863.04₴

Average return 1 789.65₴

ROI +107.4%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 2 131.71 ₴, profit at most −342.07 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −856 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P250 | Facility Draft

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

10.59 ₴

at 2.12

Steam

×5

Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

852.45 ₴

at 170.49

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 863.04 ₴ +926.61 (+107.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 25%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Tornado

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 235.17 ₴ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P250 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

966.29 ₴ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Factory New

float up to 0.011216

26.77 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

12.14 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

12.35 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

10.58 ₴ 12.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Inferno Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Dust 2 Collection instead of The Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +285.15 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +915.83 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Inferno Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2278622 · The Inferno Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 961.38₴ · invest 869.93₴
profit on prices without salesat least −836 ₴ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2247723 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 941.09₴ · invest 862.96₴
profit on prices without salesat least −857 ₴ rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2250172 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 934.44₴ · invest 882.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −848 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2277069 · The Harlequin Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 932.77₴ · invest 859.94₴
profit on prices without salesat least −850 ₴ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2249259 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 929.13₴ · invest 896.74₴
profit on prices without salesat least −866 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New)
Craft 2256747 · The Ascent Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 928.42₴ · invest 860.39₴
profit on prices without salesat least −855 ₴ rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2257955 · The Boreal Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 927.87₴ · invest 860.39₴
profit on prices without salesat least −855 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2252772 · The Achroma Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 927.18₴ · invest 859.49₴
profit on prices without salesat least −856 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2278619 · The Inferno Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 926.68₴ · invest 859.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −856 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2254593 · The Anubis Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 923.97₴ · invest 915.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −859 ₴ rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2251725 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 914.17₴ · invest 958.40₴
profit on prices without salesat least −918 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) instead of P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Inferno Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build