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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +137.06₽

Invest 411.98₽

Average return 549.04₽

ROI +33.3%

Chance of profit 58%

With float: invest at least 1 041.80 ₽, profit at most −492.77 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

345.60 ₽

at 43.20

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

66.38 ₽

at 33.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 411.98 ₽ +137.06 (+33.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

16.14 ₽

at 16.14

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

86.40 ₽

at 43.20

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

26.23 ₽

at 26.23

Steam

×6

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

199.14 ₽

at 33.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 327.91 ₽ +33.33 (+10.2%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 15%
About break-even 27%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 146.58 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

463.77 ₽ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

542.98 ₽ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125999

511.41 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

201.51 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.086799

161.27 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125999

269.23 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +53.96 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +121.61 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248423 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 145.89₽ · invest 423.70₽
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2248290 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 145.55₽ · invest 384.94₽
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2248378 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 144.85₽ · invest 386.20₽
P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2248074 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 142.49₽ · invest 408.50₽
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074184 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2248336 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 137.44₽ · invest 376.40₽
MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077777 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2248569 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 128.65₽ · invest 417.70₽
P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.075675
Craft 2248708 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 126.38₽ · invest 421.54₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074242 instead of 0.075675

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build