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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +55.90₴

Invest 105.53₴

Average return 161.43₴

ROI +53.0%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 251.85 ₴, profit at most −90.42 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

8.86 ₴

at 8.86

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

56.96 ₴

at 9.49

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

39.71 ₴

at 13.24

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 105.53 ₴ +55.90 (+53.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007368

99.35 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

217.08 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

239.54 ₴ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

225.22 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.044210

67.73 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

147.67 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

66.05 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

113.64 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.48 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +37.68 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2249697 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 56.96₴ · invest 102.73₴
profit on prices without salesat least −32 ₴

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166154 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004916 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253312 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 55.76₴ · invest 98.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162460 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003792 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253554 · The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 55.68₴ · invest 98.17₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253365 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 55.65₴ · invest 98.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162460 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003792 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253313 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 55.61₴ · invest 98.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2252413 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 55.51₴ · invest 98.08₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162143 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003695 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253688 · The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 55.49₴ · invest 98.17₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2254014 · The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 55.48₴ · invest 98.17₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2254140 · The Ancient Collection + The Train Collection · profit 55.44₴ · invest 98.63₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253931 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 55.41₴ · invest 98.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166345 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004974 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2252414 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 55.40₴ · invest 98.08₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253366 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 55.38₴ · invest 98.26₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253775 · The Ancient Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 55.23₴ · invest 98.57₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2248083 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 55.04₴ · invest 98.79₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New)
Craft 2247440 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 55.00₴ · invest 98.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

MP9 | Slide (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253743 · The Ancient Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 54.95₴ · invest 98.79₴
profit on prices without salesat least −34 ₴

FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253349 · The Ancient Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 54.61₴ · invest 98.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −35 ₴

Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165725 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004786 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2253874 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 53.87₴ · invest 104.09₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168041 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005490 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2250995 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 52.63₴ · invest 109.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 ₴

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Framework (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162876 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003919 instead of 0.004951

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build