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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +72.53$

Invest 266.04$

Average return 338.58$

ROI +27.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 659.49 $, profit at most −320.91 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −260 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1723

45.90 $

at 22.95

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

211.65 $

at 30.24

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

8.50 $

at 8.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 266.04 $ +72.53 (+27.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −232 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

45.90 $

at 22.95

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

181.41 $

at 30.24

souvenirSteam

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

17.00 $

at 8.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 244.31 $ +63.52 (+26.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −204 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

45.90 $

at 22.95

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

151.18 $

at 30.24

souvenirSteam

×3

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

25.50 $

at 8.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.57 $ +54.50 (+24.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

22.95 $

at 22.95

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

28.01 $

at 28.01

souvenirSteam

×8

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

67.99 $

at 8.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.95 $ +4.36 (+3.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −176 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

45.90 $

at 22.95

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

120.94 $

at 30.24

souvenirSteam

×4

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

33.99 $

at 8.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 200.83 $ +45.48 (+22.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

629.81 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006999

219.65 $ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.006999

54.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.021874

88.14 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +36.96 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +66.75 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Arms Deal 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 22 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2249047 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 74.58$ · invest 259.05$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161619 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003536 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249258 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 74.57$ · invest 263.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −263 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162914 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003930 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249535 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 74.56$ · invest 260.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171422 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006519 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249167 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 74.56$ · invest 259.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167772 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249625 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 74.43$ · invest 260.35$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163806 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004201 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2248859 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 74.30$ · invest 259.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167065 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005193 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249168 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 74.23$ · invest 260.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167491 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005323 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249511 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 73.98$ · invest 259.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167384 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005290 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2248809 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 73.86$ · invest 266.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −259 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167065 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005193 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249381 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 73.76$ · invest 260.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −259 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164883 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004529 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249430 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 73.68$ · invest 260.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −259 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166592 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005049 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249623 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 73.67$ · invest 266.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −266 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162914 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003930 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249617 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 73.02$ · invest 263.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −261 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162914 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003930 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249337 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 72.94$ · invest 277.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −278 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Red Rock (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161619 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003536 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249131 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 72.80$ · invest 259.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −260 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176143 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.007956 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2248969 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 72.74$ · invest 260.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −260 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161619 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003536 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249241 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 72.33$ · invest 262.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −260 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167065 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005193 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249494 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 72.12$ · invest 263.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −261 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167346 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005279 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2248919 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 70.55$ · invest 265.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −264 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174380 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.007420 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2248881 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 70.43$ · invest 282.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −283 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162914 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003930 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249007 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 69.05$ · invest 277.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −267 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Graven (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163806 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004201 instead of 0.006807
Craft 2249622 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 68.54$ · invest 274.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −269 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163806 instead of 0.172368; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004201 instead of 0.006807

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build