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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +31 209.62₸

Invest 120 637.69₸

Average return 151 847.31₸

ROI +25.9%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 307 777.31 ₸, profit at most −155 930.00 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −120 305 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

10 414.86 ₸

at 10 414.86

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

109 767.21 ₸

at 13 720.90

souvenirSteam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

455.62 ₸

at 455.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 120 637.69 ₸ +31 209.62 (+25.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −106 732 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

10 414.86 ₸

at 10 414.86

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

96 046.31 ₸

at 13 720.90

souvenirSteam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

455.62 ₸

at 455.62

Steam

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

480.10 ₸

at 480.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107 396.89 ₸ +28 692.68 (+26.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −93 159 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

10 414.86 ₸

at 10 414.86

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

82 325.41 ₸

at 13 720.90

souvenirSteam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

455.62 ₸

at 455.62

Steam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

960.21 ₸

at 480.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94 156.10 ₸ +26 175.74 (+27.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 464 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

10 414.86 ₸

at 10 414.86

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

41 162.70 ₸

at 13 720.90

souvenirSteam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

2 880.62 ₸

at 480.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54 458.18 ₸ +18 600.46 (+34.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 891 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

10 414.86 ₸

at 10 414.86

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

27 441.80 ₸

at 13 720.90

souvenirSteam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

3 360.72 ₸

at 480.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41 217.38 ₸ +16 083.52 (+39.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

285 813.03 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

99 678.62 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 029.15 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

11 467.75 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 098.67 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15 368.98 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28 739.45 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248880 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 34 619.48₸ · invest 130 806.46₸
profit on prices without salesat least −130 806 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176134 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.007953 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249252 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 34 448.91₸ · invest 120 635.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −116 396 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2248900 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 33 927.43₸ · invest 123 231.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −123 231 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2248915 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 33 568.16₸ · invest 121 753.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 276 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249588 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33 386.54₸ · invest 121 058.09₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 458 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249566 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 33 254.25₸ · invest 121 737.25₸
profit on prices without salesat least −121 737 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249336 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 33 118.47₸ · invest 121 752.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −121 752 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169981 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006081 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249431 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 32 880.36₸ · invest 120 743.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 964 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164638 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004455 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249340 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 32 874.40₸ · invest 121 267.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 570 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164638 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004455 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249495 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 32 620.45₸ · invest 120 886.62₸
profit on prices without salesat least −118 750 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162543 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003817 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249500 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 32 453.51₸ · invest 121 073.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 795 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249361 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 32 239.98₸ · invest 121 260.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 382 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172150 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006741 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249613 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 32 171.04₸ · invest 121 061.78₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 656 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165078 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004589 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249048 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 32 143.45₸ · invest 120 865.72₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 170 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168266 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005559 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2248860 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 32 122.46₸ · invest 120 649.40₸
profit on prices without salesat least −118 722 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168554 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249049 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 31 848.79₸ · invest 120 865.72₸
profit on prices without salesat least −118 996 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172615 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006882 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249186 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 31 835.90₸ · invest 120 844.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 245 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167108 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005207 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249100 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 31 690.06₸ · invest 120 607.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 155 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249169 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 31 639.37₸ · invest 120 505.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 539 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170173 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006139 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2247369 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Dust 2 Collection · profit 31 604.66₸ · invest 120 766.19₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 470 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249191 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 31 579.48₸ · invest 120 485.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 668 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249014 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 31 574.86₸ · invest 121 350.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 279 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178028 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.008530 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249455 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 31 489.50₸ · invest 120 782.33₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 801 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166724 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005089 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249524 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 31 394.29₸ · invest 120 771.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 509 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168424 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005607 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249024 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 31 380.53₸ · invest 120 438.64₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 314 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170173 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006139 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249525 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 31 189.91₸ · invest 120 707.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 260 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168554 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249151 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 31 181.91₸ · invest 120 401.22₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 663 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168554 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249176 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 31 169.23₸ · invest 120 850.21₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 675 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.181547 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.009601 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249386 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 31 157.55₸ · invest 120 542.12₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 687 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build