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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +75.91$

Invest 265.83$

Average return 341.74$

ROI +28.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 678.20 $, profit at most −336.46 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −256 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

22.95 $

at 22.95

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0079

241.88 $

at 30.24

souvenirSteam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1760

1.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 265.83 $ +75.91 (+28.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −121 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

151.18 $

at 30.24

souvenirSteam

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

3.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

13.21 $

at 6.60

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 167.38 $ +64.00 (+38.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −186 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

29.67 $

at 29.67

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

181.41 $

at 30.24

souvenirSteam

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

3.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.08 $ +72.48 (+33.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

629.81 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

219.65 $ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

31.35 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270.20 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

20.77 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 only The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +39.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +70.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248880 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 76.29$ · invest 288.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −288 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176134 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.007953 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2248900 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 74.76$ · invest 271.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −272 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2248915 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 73.97$ · invest 268.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249588 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 73.57$ · invest 266.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −259 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249566 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 73.28$ · invest 268.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −268 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249336 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 72.98$ · invest 268.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −268 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169981 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006081 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249431 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 72.45$ · invest 266.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −260 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164638 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004455 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249340 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 72.44$ · invest 267.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −266 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164638 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004455 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249495 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 71.88$ · invest 266.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −262 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Wingshot (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162543 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003817 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249500 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 71.51$ · invest 266.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −266 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249361 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 71.04$ · invest 267.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −265 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172150 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006741 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249613 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 70.89$ · invest 266.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −266 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165078 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004589 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249048 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 70.83$ · invest 266.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −263 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168266 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005559 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2248860 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 70.78$ · invest 265.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −262 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168554 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249049 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 70.18$ · invest 266.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −262 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172615 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006882 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249186 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 70.15$ · invest 266.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −265 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167108 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005207 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249100 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 69.83$ · invest 265.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −263 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249169 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 69.72$ · invest 265.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −263 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170173 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006139 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2247369 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Dust 2 Collection · profit 69.64$ · invest 266.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −265 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249191 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 69.59$ · invest 265.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −264 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249014 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 69.58$ · invest 267.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −265 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178028 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.008530 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249455 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 69.39$ · invest 266.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −264 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166724 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005089 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249524 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 69.18$ · invest 266.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −266 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168424 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005607 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249024 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 69.15$ · invest 265.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −265 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170173 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006139 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249140 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 68.77$ · invest 265.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −265 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)
Craft 2249525 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 68.73$ · invest 265.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −265 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168554 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249151 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 68.71$ · invest 265.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −264 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168554 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249176 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 68.68$ · invest 266.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −264 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Directive (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.181547 instead of 0.176094; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.009601 instead of 0.007941
Craft 2249386 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 68.66$ · invest 265.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −264 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build