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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +22.31$

Invest 20.03$

Average return 42.34$

ROI +111.3%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 49.49 $, profit at most −7.14 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

0.99 $

at 0.20

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

19.05 $

at 3.81

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 20.03 $ +22.31 (+111.3%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

P90 | Fallout Warning

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129.56 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Fallout Warning

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65.89 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Fallout Warning

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90.11 $ 16.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

1.51 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3.29 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

1.47 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2.53 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Nuke Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2280033 · The Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 23.02$ · invest 19.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2247763 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 22.57$ · invest 19.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2250246 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 22.42$ · invest 19.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2277119 · The Harlequin Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 22.39$ · invest 19.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2256799 · The Ascent Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 22.29$ · invest 19.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2258004 · The Boreal Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 22.28$ · invest 19.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2252817 · The Achroma Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 22.26$ · invest 19.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2280007 · The Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 22.25$ · invest 19.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2248496 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 22.25$ · invest 19.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New)
Craft 2254659 · The Anubis Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 22.19$ · invest 20.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −19 $ rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir Sawed-Off | Irradiated Alert (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2251803 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 21.97$ · invest 21.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −21 $ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build