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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +9.37₴

Invest 30.42₴

Average return 39.80₴

ROI +30.8%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 73.06 ₴, profit at most −33.26 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

17.79 ₴

at 2.97

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

11.13 ₴

at 3.71

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1.50 ₴

at 1.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.42 ₴ +9.37 (+30.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 22%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60.89 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

37.57 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

35.16 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.065799

68.69 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

4.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

1.80 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Palm

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

1.41 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163599

1.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

3.02 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.52 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.25 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2250126 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 9.58₴ · invest 30.42₴
PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2248016 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 9.52₴ · invest 31.04₴
P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074682 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074682 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2249665 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 9.49₴ · invest 30.33₴
SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2250349 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 9.46₴ · invest 30.35₴
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074719 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2250438 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 9.43₴ · invest 30.42₴
MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2249772 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 9.43₴ · invest 30.51₴
Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2249830 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 9.43₴ · invest 30.51₴
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074750 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2250568 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train Collection · profit 9.43₴ · invest 30.88₴
Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2247373 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 9.39₴ · invest 30.73₴
MP9 | Slide (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2250213 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 9.20₴ · invest 30.82₴
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2249810 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 9.10₴ · invest 31.18₴
Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir P250 | Drought (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074428 instead of 0.074099; Souvenir MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074428 instead of 0.074099
Craft 2250179 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 9.08₴ · invest 31.04₴
FAMAS | Colony (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build