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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +71.31$

Invest 255.25$

Average return 326.56$

ROI +27.9%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 620.80 $, profit at most −294.24 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −255 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

89.07 $

at 22.27

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

165.13 $

at 33.03

souvenirSteam

×1

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

1.06 $

at 1.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 255.25 $ +71.31 (+27.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

22.27 $

at 22.27

souvenirSteam

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

1.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

8.46 $

at 1.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 31.74 $ +24.19 (+76.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −166 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

89.07 $

at 22.27

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

66.05 $

at 33.03

souvenirSteam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

2.12 $

at 1.06

Steam

×2

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

11.22 $

at 5.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 168.45 $ +56.62 (+33.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −194 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

89.07 $

at 22.27

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

99.08 $

at 33.03

souvenirSteam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

2.12 $

at 1.06

Steam

×1

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

5.61 $

at 5.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 195.87 $ +63.03 (+32.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

577.05 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

251.84 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26.51 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

25.27 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.46 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +67.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 36 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248032 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 74.72$ · invest 260.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −260 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250164 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 74.01$ · invest 259.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −250 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162660 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003853 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250534 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 73.45$ · invest 260.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −260 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249754 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 73.12$ · invest 261.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −251 $ rare inputs

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249911 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 72.60$ · invest 255.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −252 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162994 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003954 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250562 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 72.37$ · invest 259.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −252 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250295 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 72.10$ · invest 258.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −256 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162039 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003664 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249871 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 71.98$ · invest 256.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −255 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250080 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 71.94$ · invest 256.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −255 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250468 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 71.72$ · invest 258.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −258 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249977 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 71.56$ · invest 255.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −253 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250063 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 71.49$ · invest 255.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162039 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003664 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250090 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 71.44$ · invest 255.60$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250271 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 71.42$ · invest 260.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −259 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249881 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 71.27$ · invest 255.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −255 $ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162039 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003664 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250259 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 71.16$ · invest 262.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −262 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162760 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003883 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249738 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 71.12$ · invest 267.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −267 $ rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250071 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 71.11$ · invest 255.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −253 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250493 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 70.94$ · invest 255.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −255 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161627 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003538 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250416 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 70.92$ · invest 256.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249943 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 70.87$ · invest 255.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −253 $ rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162660 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003853 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250331 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 70.79$ · invest 255.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250039 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 70.76$ · invest 255.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164151 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004306 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250483 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 70.62$ · invest 255.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163211 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004020 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249991 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 70.58$ · invest 255.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250408 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 70.55$ · invest 254.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250205 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 70.50$ · invest 255.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249912 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 70.34$ · invest 255.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165398 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004686 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250380 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 70.34$ · invest 260.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171410 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.006516 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250390 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 70.16$ · invest 255.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −254 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250585 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 70.12$ · invest 256.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −256 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2250601 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 69.81$ · invest 259.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −259 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170943 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.006374 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249717 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 69.79$ · invest 286.70$
profit on prices without salesat least −287 $ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170943 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.006374 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2247394 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 69.76$ · invest 257.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −257 $ rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249921 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 69.75$ · invest 256.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −255 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164546 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004427 instead of 0.005141
Craft 2249690 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 69.34$ · invest 259.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −255 $ rare inputs

AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear) instead of Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162039 instead of 0.166892; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003664 instead of 0.005141

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build