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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +0.67₴

Invest 43.06₴

Average return 43.72₴

ROI +1.6%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest 46.38 ₴, profit −2.66 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5728

12.23 ₴

at 12.23

souvenirSteam

×9

UMP-45 | Gunsmoke

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.7366

30.83 ₴

at 3.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.06 ₴ +0.67 (+1.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

Glock-18 | Candy Apple

Field-Tested

float up to 0.275510

63.12 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Anodized Navy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073469

60.82 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Full Stop

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.551020

6.99 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.459183

103.40 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals price cut

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.505101

92.72 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals price cut

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

105.19 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals price cut

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.505101

138.91 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Italy Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.20 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.42 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Italy Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2250191 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.67₴ · invest 43.06₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Humidor: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.566716 instead of 0.572829; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.722338 instead of 0.736603
Craft 2250193 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 0.67₴ · invest 43.06₴
profit on prices without salesat least −11 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Desert Blossom: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.599999 instead of 0.572829; UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.799999 instead of 0.736603

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Italy Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build