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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit −6 836.44₽

Invest 9 422.64₽

Average return 2 586.20₽

ROI −72.5%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 20 832.78 ₽, profit at most −18 246.58 ₽

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4612

800.00 ₽

at 200.00

souvenirSteam

×5

M249 | Humidor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1758

1 018.95 ₽

at 203.79

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Terrace

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5118

7 603.69 ₽

at 7 603.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 422.64 ₽ −6 836.44 (−72.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 2%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 8%

at a loss

worst

AUG | Sand Storm

Field-Tested

float up to 0.281249

1 876.77 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.476249

1 952.71 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208124

1 887.22 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱

Well-Worn

float up to 0.421874

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐

Well-Worn

float up to 0.421874

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Daybreak

Field-Tested

float up to 0.337499

50 364.85 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7 101.71 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −6 838.17 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Rising Sun Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build