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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +66 209.23₸

Invest 134 821.32₸

Average return 201 030.55₸

ROI +49.1%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 331 891.15 ₸, profit at most −130 860.55 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −134 821 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

89 922.08 ₸

at 14 987.01

souvenirSteam

×4

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

44 899.25 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 134 821.32 ₸ +66 209.23 (+49.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −206 580 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

14 987.01 ₸

at 14 987.01

souvenirSteam

×5

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

56 124.06 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

×4

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

135 468.94 ₸

at 33 867.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 206 580.02 ₸ +41 304.56 (+20.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −172 582 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

59 948.05 ₸

at 14 987.01

souvenirSteam

×4

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

44 899.25 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

×2

P250 | Splash

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

67 734.47 ₸

at 33 867.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 172 581.77 ₸ +47 190.40 (+27.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

261 870.12 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

114 288.75 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

302 858.36 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.062972

288 829.04 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25 631.98 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +61 783.10 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 39 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2283327 · The Radiant Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 87 342.17₸ · invest 78 127.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 011 ₸ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074054 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2285192 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 87 115.34₸ · invest 85 800.41₸
profit on prices without salesat least −85 800 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2271731 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 86 930.94₸ · invest 70 376.59₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 422 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2273645 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 86 653.28₸ · invest 72 901.65₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 033 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2258358 · The Boreal Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 86 508.83₸ · invest 73 256.36₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 844 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074054 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2285399 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 86 483.39₸ · invest 70 555.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 870 ₸ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2283733 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 86 364.34₸ · invest 70 044.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 989 ₸ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2284421 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 86 022.56₸ · invest 76 554.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −73 197 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2261039 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 85 963.86₸ · invest 72 287.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 788 ₸ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2285796 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 85 744.22₸ · invest 75 162.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 352 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074077 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2275927 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 85 259.35₸ · invest 73 976.89₸
profit on prices without salesat least −70 705 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2268373 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 85 136.83₸ · invest 75 028.82₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 216 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2272571 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 85 132.22₸ · invest 70 892.94₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 221 ₸ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2285950 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 85 059.75₸ · invest 83 693.77₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 293 ₸ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2282588 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 84 527.13₸ · invest 73 246.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 826 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2281636 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 84 382.34₸ · invest 80 596.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −77 082 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2253108 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 84 330.68₸ · invest 77 731.77₸
profit on prices without salesat least −70 023 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2263882 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 84 308.80₸ · invest 74 190.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −70 044 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2254988 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 81 964.10₸ · invest 97 645.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −97 645 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2285861 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 80 308.55₸ · invest 90 632.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −90 632 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2280560 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 80 284.97₸ · invest 105 069.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −105 070 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2286018 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 79 338.99₸ · invest 79 978.23₸
profit on prices without salesat least −78 759 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2248779 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 77 407.32₸ · invest 76 080.00₸
profit on prices without salesat least −73 905 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2255659 · The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 76 751.61₸ · invest 95 509.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −77 602 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2249620 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 76 240.54₸ · invest 127 224.66₸
profit on prices without salesat least −127 225 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New)
Craft 2278100 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 75 917.62₸ · invest 73 908.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 710 ₸ rare inputs

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2281249 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 74 532.80₸ · invest 70 579.82₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 094 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2277444 · The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 74 098.51₸ · invest 83 785.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −80 255 ₸ rare inputs

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2275182 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 73 804.28₸ · invest 64 004.45₸
profit on prices without salesat least −61 007 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2278557 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 72 980.90₸ · invest 76 266.28₸
profit on prices without salesat least −66 345 ₸ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2269496 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 72 920.99₸ · invest 58 955.13₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 707 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2274476 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 72 887.51₸ · invest 61 614.62₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 740 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2285568 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 72 860.67₸ · invest 62 375.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −61 061 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2265971 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 72 563.51₸ · invest 59 536.95₸
profit on prices without salesat least −56 064 ₸ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2285707 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 71 848.50₸ · invest 61 986.65₸
profit on prices without salesat least −58 029 ₸ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2286077 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 71 719.11₸ · invest 68 849.85₸
profit on prices without salesat least −66 820 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2254196 · The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 71 665.32₸ · invest 129 869.29₸
profit on prices without salesat least −129 869 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074100 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2264777 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 70 115.66₸ · invest 67 576.63₸
profit on prices without salesat least −66 195 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074137
Craft 2277037 · The Graphic Design Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 69 736.22₸ · invest 90 956.15₸
profit on prices without salesat least −82 318 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074681 instead of 0.074137

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build