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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +42 429.78₸

Invest 107 449.92₸

Average return 149 879.69₸

ROI +39.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 270 705.16 ₸, profit at most −120 825.52 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −107 450 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

10 105.21 ₸

at 10 105.21

souvenirSteam

×1

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

7 546.21 ₸

at 7 546.21

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

89 798.50 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107 449.92 ₸ +42 429.78 (+39.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −136 344 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1721

20 210.42 ₸

at 10 105.21

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

104 909.09 ₸

at 14 987.01

souvenirSteam

×1

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

11 224.81 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 136 344.32 ₸ +25 684.36 (+18.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −132 582 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

20 210.42 ₸

at 10 105.21

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

89 922.08 ₸

at 14 987.01

souvenirSteam

×2

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

22 449.62 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132 582.12 ₸ +27 927.95 (+21.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −128 820 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

20 210.42 ₸

at 10 105.21

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

74 935.06 ₸

at 14 987.01

souvenirSteam

×3

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

33 674.44 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128 819.92 ₸ +30 171.53 (+23.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −125 058 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

20 210.42 ₸

at 10 105.21

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

59 948.05 ₸

at 14 987.01

souvenirSteam

×4

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

44 899.25 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 125 057.72 ₸ +32 415.11 (+25.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093636

52 401.36 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

288 829.04 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.036363

261 870.12 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

114 288.75 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 only The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10 698.95 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +39 238.33 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2281803 · The Overpass Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 42 661.83₸ · invest 109 607.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −109 608 ₸ rare inputs

AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)
Craft 2280561 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 42 281.62₸ · invest 98 993.74₸
profit on prices without salesat least −98 994 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162241 instead of 0.165966; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.075553
Craft 2254197 · The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 40 137.23₸ · invest 107 969.09₸
profit on prices without salesat least −107 969 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161769 instead of 0.165966; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.075553
Craft 2252367 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 39 822.68₸ · invest 106 966.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −106 966 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164078 instead of 0.165966; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074896 instead of 0.075553
Craft 2254989 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 39 445.18₸ · invest 100 393.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −100 394 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162241 instead of 0.165966; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.075553
Craft 2255660 · The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 39 085.91₸ · invest 98 915.97₸
profit on prices without salesat least −94 439 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162241 instead of 0.165966; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.075553
Craft 2285862 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 38 772.00₸ · invest 98 899.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −98 900 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162241 instead of 0.165966; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.075553

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build