to all crafts

The 2021 Train Collection + The Canals Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit −1 684.23₴

Invest 2 531.47₴

Average return 847.24₴

ROI −66.5%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest 2 554.77 ₴, profit −1 707.54 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.7% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 7 contracts · easy (by listings)

×6

SSG 08 | Spring Twilly

Field-Tested

any lot

473.35 ₴

at 78.89

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Safety Net

Battle-Scarred

any lot

158.83 ₴

at 79.42

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Violet Murano

Field-Tested

any lot

1 899.29 ₴

at 949.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 531.47 ₴ −1 684.23 (−66.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 80%
Above the Steam cap 7%

at a loss

AWP | POP AWP

Field-Tested

float up to 0.337280

300.79 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.536581

243.56 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Space Race

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.459927

259.44 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Well-Worn

float up to 0.444596

292.83 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Field-Tested

float up to 0.306618

377.60 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

MAC-10 | Red Filigree

Well-Worn

float up to 0.383272

not on Steam: above the cap 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Stained Glass

Well-Worn

float up to 0.383272

4 555.04 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals price cut

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Baroque Orange

Well-Worn

float up to 0.383272

6 521.65 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Canals Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Canals Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Canals Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Canals Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Canals Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 737.86 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1 691.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Canals Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2250696 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Canals Collection · profit −1 684.75₴ · invest 2 531.99₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 6; Tec-9 | Safety Net (Battle-Scarred): 3 pcs instead of 2
Craft 2250697 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Canals Collection · profit −1 685.46₴ · invest 2 533.56₴
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | POP AWP: Well-Worn instead of Field-Tested; MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; SSG 08 | Spring Twilly (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 6; Tec-9 | Safety Net (Battle-Scarred): 6 pcs instead of 2

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Canals Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build