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The 2021 Train Collection + The Norse Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −163 270.42₸

Invest 174 729.35₸

Average return 11 458.93₸

ROI −93.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 387 816.05 ₸, profit at most −376 357.12 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×9

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5211

22 129.02 ₸

at 2 458.78

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3999

152 600.33 ₸

at 152 600.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174 729.35 ₸ −163 270.42 (−93.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Meltdown

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

13 993.51 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.464999

14 430.31 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.614999

15 502.07 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

Negev | Mjölnir

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Norse Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Norse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −164 756.92 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −163 862.62 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Norse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2250824 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −163 058.31₸ · invest 174 729.35₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Propaganda: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.503092 instead of 0.521124; AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn): float at most 0.394865 instead of 0.399914
Craft 2250826 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −163 270.43₸ · invest 174 729.35₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Mjölnir: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.670187 instead of 0.521124; AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn): float at most 0.441652 instead of 0.399914
Craft 2250944 · The 2021 Train Collection + The St. Marc Collection · profit −173 804.30₸ · invest 185 475.35₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn); MAC-10 | Propaganda: Field-Tested instead of Battle-Scarred; CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.468274 instead of 0.521124
Craft 2250945 · The 2021 Train Collection + The St. Marc Collection · profit −173 804.30₸ · invest 185 475.35₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn); MAC-10 | Propaganda: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.490772 instead of 0.521124

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Norse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build