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The 2021 Train Collection + The Norse Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −166 848.54₸

Invest 187 296.71₸

Average return 20 448.18₸

ROI −89.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 420 868.20 ₸, profit at most −400 420.03 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×9

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

34 696.38 ₸

at 3 855.15

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3853

152 600.33 ₸

at 152 600.33

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187 296.71 ₸ −166 848.54 (−89.1%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 50.0% of the chance

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×3

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

11 565.46 ₸

at 3 855.15

Steam

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

10 000.39 ₸

at 5 000.20

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3861

152 600.33 ₸

at 152 600.33

Steam

×4

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

744 260.53 ₸

at 186 065.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 918 426.72 ₸ −907 066.62 (−98.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

best

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 000.21 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.108499

19 242.63 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.189499

20 141.84 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

Negev | Mjölnir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Norse Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Norse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −171 106.40 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −167 915.27 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Norse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Norse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build