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The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3 902.80₴

Invest 4 535.86₴

Average return 8 438.66₴

ROI +86.0%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 11 892.59 ₴, profit at most −3 453.93 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 507 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

4 457.71 ₴

at 495.30

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

78.15 ₴

at 78.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 535.86 ₴ +3 902.80 (+86.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

3 863.22 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

3 723.87 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 351.36 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Momentum

Factory New

float up to 0.062837

1 978.26 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

float up to 0.257432

359.62 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Incinegator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146891

1 349.92 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 178.58 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 753.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 28 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2250966 · The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 4 149.71₴ · invest 4 643.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 664 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005058 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250704 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 4 013.35₴ · invest 4 532.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 386 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003673 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250684 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 3 932.19₴ · invest 4 605.67₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 520 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005230 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250749 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 3 925.83₴ · invest 4 505.27₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 493 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003991 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250778 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 3 899.82₴ · invest 4 613.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 575 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250879 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 3 887.59₴ · invest 4 497.42₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 465 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005063 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250742 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 3 882.32₴ · invest 4 513.80₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 470 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250770 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 3 881.66₴ · invest 4 566.49₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 471 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005454 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250921 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3 881.13₴ · invest 4 581.56₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 576 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250717 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 3 875.24₴ · invest 4 525.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 477 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005556 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250755 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 3 872.24₴ · invest 4 532.69₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 480 ₴ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250814 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 3 871.42₴ · invest 4 515.57₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 481 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005603 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250764 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 3 865.36₴ · invest 4 595.22₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 520 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005669 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250677 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 3 861.78₴ · invest 4 604.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 491 ₴ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005632 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250918 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3 861.15₴ · invest 4 537.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 491 ₴ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005621 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250927 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3 861.08₴ · invest 4 573.86₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 516 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005466 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250872 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 3 858.21₴ · invest 4 524.46₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 494 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005621 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250688 · The 2021 Train Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 3 848.29₴ · invest 4 580.02₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 588 ₴ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005669 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250931 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 3 842.85₴ · invest 4 651.22₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 602 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005637 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250729 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 3 837.37₴ · invest 4 559.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 515 ₴ rare inputs

P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New)
Craft 2250783 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 3 830.84₴ · invest 4 621.85₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 562 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250735 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 3 827.81₴ · invest 4 647.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 525 ₴ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250759 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 3 827.69₴ · invest 4 545.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 525 ₴ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005689 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250855 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 812.71₴ · invest 4 603.76₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 540 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250711 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 3 807.30₴ · invest 4 627.14₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 545 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250747 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 3 781.77₴ · invest 4 563.44₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 571 ₴ rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New)
Craft 2250661 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 3 749.24₴ · invest 5 207.98₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 229 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005405
Craft 2250961 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 3 738.68₴ · invest 4 804.82₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 741 ₴ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003621 instead of 0.005405

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build