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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −448.56₽

Invest 852.76₽

Average return 404.20₽

ROI −52.6%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest 864.76 ₽, profit −460.56 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.7% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 7 contracts · easy (by listings)

×2

Souvenir P90 | Schematic

Well-Worn

any lot

646.36 ₽

at 323.18

souvenirSteam

×8

P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

any lot

206.40 ₽

at 25.80

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 852.76 ₽ −448.56 (−52.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 80%
Above the Steam cap 7%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.588000

78.96 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.980000

58.92 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.509600

264.89 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.490000

122.39 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Loudmouth

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.639800

88.77 ₽ 16.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Galil AR | CAUTION!

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.539000

not on Steam: above the cap 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Prism Terrace

Field-Tested

float up to 0.362600

2 599.00 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P250 | Digital Architect

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.480200

2 900.00 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −490.99 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −459.06 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2251460 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −448.56₽ · invest 852.76₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Digital Architect: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Well-Worn): float at most 0.440781 instead of 0.450000; P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.927568 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2251462 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −448.98₽ · invest 852.76₽
outcome without sales no outcome price rare inputs

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; P250 | Digital Architect: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Well-Worn): float at most 0.432856 instead of 0.450000; P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.865302 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2251463 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −449.57₽ · invest 852.76₽
outcome without sales no outcome price rare inputs

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; P250 | Digital Architect: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Well-Worn): float at most 0.438034 instead of 0.450000; P90 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.905982 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build