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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit −221.33₴

Invest 434.40₴

Average return 213.07₴

ROI −51.0%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest 440.03 ₴, profit −226.96 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.7% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 7 contracts · easy (by listings)

×2

Souvenir P90 | Schematic

Well-Worn

any lot

342.23 ₴

at 171.12

souvenirSteam

×8

MAC-10 | Whitefish

Battle-Scarred

any lot

92.17 ₴

at 11.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 434.40 ₴ −221.33 (−51.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 80%
Above the Steam cap 7%

at a loss

AWP | Atheris

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.980000

168.15 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Light Rail

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.882000

60.75 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Gauss

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.980000

29.17 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Bamboozle

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.784000

31.02 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Moonrise

Well-Worn

float up to 0.392000

29.18 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Galil AR | CAUTION!

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.539000

not on Steam: above the cap 6.67%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Prism Terrace

Field-Tested

float up to 0.362600

1 376.10 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P250 | Digital Architect

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.480200

1 535.47 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −241.31 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −226.66 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2251964 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −221.33₴ · invest 434.40₴
outcome without sales no outcome price rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; P250 | Digital Architect: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Well-Worn): float at most 0.440781 instead of 0.450000; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.927568 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2251965 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −221.33₴ · invest 434.40₴
outcome without sales no outcome price rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; Souvenir P90 | Schematic (Well-Worn): float at most 0.445512 instead of 0.450000; MAC-10 | Whitefish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.964743 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build