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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −103.16$

Invest 125.92$

Average return 22.76$

ROI −81.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 285.69 $, profit at most −262.93 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4538

96.78 $

at 96.78

souvenirSteam

×9

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5199

29.15 $

at 3.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 125.92 $ −103.16 (−81.9%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 60.0% of the chance

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×5

Souvenir SG 553 | Hazard Pay

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4527

483.89 $

at 96.78

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

103.50 $

at 103.50

souvenirSteam

×3

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

10.74 $

at 3.58

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

5.79 $

at 5.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 603.93 $ −593.81 (−98.3%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

26.44 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

best

M4A4 | Temukau

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

31.73 $ 45.00%

Steam

M4A1-S | Imminent Danger

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −106.97 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −104.00 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build