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The Alpha Collection + The Inferno Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +710.03₽

Invest 2 944.96₽

Average return 3 654.99₽

ROI +24.1%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 7 101.52 ₽, profit at most −3 446.53 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 517 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Facets

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

373.72 ₽

at 373.72

Steam

×3

Souvenir P250 | Gunsmoke

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

638.10 ₽

at 212.70

souvenirSteam

×6

P250 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

1 933.14 ₽

at 322.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 944.96 ₽ +710.03 (+24.1%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

951.89 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Brass

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 603.69 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Anodized Navy

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

1 900.37 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | Rust Coat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 369.94 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Hazard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

3 326.45 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Alpha Collection + The Inferno Collection

Variant 2 only The Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 4 The Nuke Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +335.78 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +551.95 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Alpha Collection and The Inferno Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2278600 · The Inferno Collection + The Militia Collection · profit 685.11₽ · invest 3 250.78₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 878 ₽ rare inputs

P2000 | Grassland Leaves (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Facets (Field-Tested)
Craft 2261352 · The Canals Collection + The Inferno Collection · profit 663.08₽ · invest 2 942.26₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 508 ₽ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Orange Murano (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Facets (Field-Tested); Souvenir P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163214 instead of 0.166099; P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074596 instead of 0.075599

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Alpha Collection + The Inferno Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build