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The Alpha Collection + The Lake Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +33 568.17₸

Invest 30 458.14₸

Average return 64 026.31₸

ROI +110.2%

Chance of profit 56%

With float: invest at least 77 396.46 ₸, profit at most −13 370.20 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 979 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

29 521.02 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

937.12 ₸

at 312.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 458.14 ₸ +33 568.17 (+110.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 718 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

25 303.73 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×3

M249 | Jungle DDPAT

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

49 261.60 ₸

at 16 420.53

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

312.37 ₸

at 312.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 74 877.71 ₸ +6 985.07 (+9.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 360 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

21 086.44 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×3

M249 | Jungle DDPAT

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

49 261.60 ₸

at 16 420.53

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

19.14 ₸

at 19.14

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

312.37 ₸

at 312.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70 679.56 ₸ +2 264.96 (+3.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 621 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

25 303.73 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

19.14 ₸

at 19.14

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

937.12 ₸

at 312.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26 259.98 ₸ +28 848.06 (+109.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 263 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

21 086.44 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

38.27 ₸

at 19.14

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

937.12 ₸

at 312.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 061.83 ₸ +24 127.96 (+109.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 44%

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Sand Dune

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355 045.16 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Negev | Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 835.74 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Facets

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 669.70 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Mosaico

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 750.25 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 690.08 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 915.47 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

104.12 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Mudder

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 776.23 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Cyanospatter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 031.46 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

364.43 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Alpha Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 3 The Radiant Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 4 only The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 6 The Overpass Collection instead of The Alpha Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 985.76 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +32 062.38 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Alpha Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2253190 · The Alpha Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 33 674.53₸ · invest 30 242.62₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 192 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Contractor (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)
Craft 2253165 · The Alpha Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 33 472.81₸ · invest 30 432.00₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 144 ₸ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)
Craft 2253255 · The Alpha Collection + The Train Collection · profit 33 389.17₸ · invest 30 589.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 158 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)
Craft 2253214 · The Alpha Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 32 985.25₸ · invest 33 605.75₸
profit on prices without salesat least −33 606 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New)
Craft 2253199 · The Alpha Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 27 676.73₸ · invest 32 681.20₸
profit on prices without salesat least −32 010 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074067

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Alpha Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build