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The Alpha Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +32 985.23₸

Invest 33 605.75₸

Average return 66 590.98₸

ROI +98.2%

Chance of profit 56%

With float: invest at least 84 510.09 ₸, profit at most −17 919.11 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 606 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

29 521.02 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×3

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

4 084.73 ₸

at 1 361.58

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 33 605.75 ₸ +32 985.23 (+98.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −75 927 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

25 303.73 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×3

M249 | Jungle DDPAT

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

49 261.60 ₸

at 16 420.53

Steam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

1 361.58 ₸

at 1 361.58

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 75 926.91 ₸ +6 790.78 (+8.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 859 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

21 086.44 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×3

M249 | Jungle DDPAT

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

49 261.60 ₸

at 16 420.53

Steam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

149.66 ₸

at 149.66

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

1 361.58 ₸

at 1 361.58

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 71 859.29 ₸ +2 795.04 (+3.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 538 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

25 303.73 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

149.66 ₸

at 149.66

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

4 084.73 ₸

at 1 361.58

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 29 538.13 ₸ +28 989.55 (+98.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 471 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP7 | Groundwater

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

21 086.44 ₸

at 4 217.29

Steam

×2

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

299.33 ₸

at 149.66

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0605

4 084.73 ₸

at 1 361.58

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 25 470.50 ₸ +24 993.82 (+98.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 44%

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Sand Dune

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355 045.16 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Negev | Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 835.74 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Facets

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 669.70 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Mosaico

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 750.25 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Mayan Dreams

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 690.08 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 209.96 ₸ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 846.18 ₸ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Grassland

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 098.20 ₸ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 524.59 ₸ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Alpha Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The Alpha Collection Variant 5 The Italy Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 866.91 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +31 271.09 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Alpha Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2253190 · The Alpha Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 33 674.53₸ · invest 30 242.62₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 192 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Contractor (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New)
Craft 2253194 · The Alpha Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 33 568.15₸ · invest 30 458.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −29 979 ₸ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New)
Craft 2253165 · The Alpha Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 33 472.81₸ · invest 30 432.00₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 144 ₸ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New)
Craft 2253255 · The Alpha Collection + The Train Collection · profit 33 389.17₸ · invest 30 589.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 158 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Urban Dashed (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New)
Craft 2253199 · The Alpha Collection + The Mirage Collection · profit 27 676.73₸ · invest 32 681.20₸
profit on prices without salesat least −32 010 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir Galil AR | Hunting Blind (Factory New) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Factory New); MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; MP7 | Groundwater (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074067

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Alpha Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build