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The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +31.34$

Invest 232.11$

Average return 263.45$

ROI +13.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 547.63 $, profit at most −284.18 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −226 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

93.65 $

at 23.41

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

130.00 $

at 32.50

souvenirSteam

×2

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

8.46 $

at 4.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 232.11 $ +31.34 (+13.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 20%
About break-even 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

477.91 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Run and Hide

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

261.11 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

64.56 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.67 $ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.24 $ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −26.56 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 22 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2253551 · The Ancient Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 35.98$ · invest 101.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −93 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074223
Craft 2253495 · The Ancient Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 35.04$ · invest 102.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −93 $ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074223
Craft 2253597 · The Ancient Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 34.64$ · invest 103.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −94 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074745 instead of 0.074223
Craft 2253769 · The Ancient Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 34.53$ · invest 101.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −94 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074477 instead of 0.074223
Craft 2254063 · The Ancient Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 33.16$ · invest 104.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −95 $ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074584 instead of 0.074223
Craft 2253966 · The Ancient Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 32.76$ · invest 102.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −96 $ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074584 instead of 0.074223
Craft 2254074 · The Ancient Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 32.47$ · invest 199.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −196 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074072 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003563 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2253425 · The Ancient Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 32.25$ · invest 229.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −229 $ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2254104 · The Ancient Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 32.01$ · invest 232.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −229 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074042 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003537 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2253655 · The Ancient Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 31.48$ · invest 230.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −227 $ rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)
Craft 2253608 · The Ancient Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 31.34$ · invest 227.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −226 $ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074125 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003609 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2253911 · The Ancient Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 30.67$ · invest 230.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −226 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)
Craft 2253869 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 30.51$ · invest 238.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −234 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003581 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2252431 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 30.45$ · invest 235.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −227 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003550 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2253296 · The Ancient Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 30.24$ · invest 246.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −227 $ rare inputs

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075075 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.004441 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2253683 · The Ancient Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 30.11$ · invest 237.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −226 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074024 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003521 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2253583 · The Ancient Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 29.66$ · invest 171.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −169 $ rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074419 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003867 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2253992 · The Ancient Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 29.55$ · invest 233.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −229 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074017 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.003515 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2253471 · The Ancient Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 29.24$ · invest 231.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −228 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)
Craft 2253481 · The Ancient Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 28.56$ · invest 123.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −120 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074011 instead of 0.074223
Craft 2254048 · The Ancient Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 27.43$ · invest 241.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −240 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075075 instead of 0.074223; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New): float at most 0.004441 instead of 0.003695
Craft 2254075 · The Ancient Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 27.26$ · invest 89.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −85 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New), MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077724 instead of 0.074223

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build