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The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +14.75₴

Invest 84.27₴

Average return 99.02₴

ROI +17.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 203.87 ₴, profit at most −104.86 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

54.29 ₴

at 9.05

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

28.48 ₴

at 9.49

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Sand Dashed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.50 ₴

at 1.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.27 ₴ +14.75 (+17.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 22%

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.015789

99.35 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

172.26 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098684

109.57 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128289

123.82 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Safari Mesh

Field-Tested

float up to 0.206052

4.36 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Orange Peel

Field-Tested

float up to 0.206052

1.80 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Palm

Field-Tested

float up to 0.206052

1.41 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Snake Camo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.206052

1.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | VariCamo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.118420

3.02 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Harlequin Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.48 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.76 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Dust 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2247446 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 15.04₴ · invest 84.27₴
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074251 instead of 0.075917; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162221 instead of 0.167011
Craft 2253694 · The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 14.86₴ · invest 84.27₴
sells slowly

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076306 instead of 0.075917; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168130 instead of 0.167011
Craft 2253939 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 14.83₴ · invest 84.20₴
sells slowly

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076280 instead of 0.075917; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168057 instead of 0.167011
Craft 2252418 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 14.82₴ · invest 84.18₴
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076306 instead of 0.075917; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168130 instead of 0.167011
Craft 2254019 · The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 14.81₴ · invest 84.27₴
sells slowly

MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2253320 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 14.78₴ · invest 84.36₴
sells slowly

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076306 instead of 0.075917; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168130 instead of 0.167011
Craft 2253376 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 14.73₴ · invest 84.36₴
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076306 instead of 0.075917; Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168130 instead of 0.167011

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build