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The Ancient Collection + The Norse Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −32 615.85₽

Invest 41 509.18₽

Average return 8 893.33₽

ROI −78.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 95 751.03 ₽, profit at most −86 857.69 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×9

Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5211

12 960.00 ₽

at 1 440.00

souvenirSteam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3999

28 549.18 ₽

at 28 549.18

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41 509.18 ₽ −32 615.85 (−78.6%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.749999

10 927.96 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

best

P90 | Run and Hide

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.749999

11 799.45 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Negev | Mjölnir

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Norse Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 3 The Overpass Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 5 The Horizon Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Norse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −34 213.17 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −33 008.70 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Norse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2253813 · The Ancient Collection + The Norse Collection · profit −32 615.85₽ · invest 41 509.18₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Mjölnir: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.700000 instead of 0.521124; AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn): float at most 0.450000 instead of 0.399914
Craft 2254123 · The Ancient Collection + The St. Marc Collection · profit −34 626.26₽ · invest 43 519.59₽
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Synth Leaf (Minimal Wear) instead of AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn); Souvenir MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.490772 instead of 0.521124

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Norse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build