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The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +40 137.23₸

Invest 107 969.09₸

Average return 148 106.33₸

ROI +37.2%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 271 826.58 ₸, profit at most −123 720.25 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −107 969 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

10 624.39 ₸

at 10 624.39

souvenirSteam

×1

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

7 546.21 ₸

at 7 546.21

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

89 798.50 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107 969.09 ₸ +40 137.23 (+37.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −135 717 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

21 248.78 ₸

at 10 624.39

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

103 243.32 ₸

at 14 749.05

souvenirSteam

×1

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

11 224.81 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 135 716.91 ₸ +10 351.62 (+7.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −132 193 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

21 248.78 ₸

at 10 624.39

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

88 494.27 ₸

at 14 749.05

souvenirSteam

×2

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

22 449.62 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132 192.67 ₸ +14 130.61 (+10.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −118 542 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

10 624.39 ₸

at 10 624.39

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

44 247.14 ₸

at 14 749.05

souvenirSteam

×1

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

7 546.21 ₸

at 7 546.21

Steam

×5

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

56 124.06 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118 541.79 ₸ +28 800.33 (+24.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −115 018 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

10 624.39 ₸

at 10 624.39

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

29 498.09 ₸

at 14 749.05

souvenirSteam

×1

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

7 546.21 ₸

at 7 546.21

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

67 348.87 ₸

at 11 224.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 115 017.56 ₸ +32 579.32 (+28.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093636

52 401.36 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

288 829.04 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Panthera onca

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

216 877.39 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P90 | Run and Hide

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

118 494.38 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 only The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 240.68 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +35 576.30 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2281803 · The Overpass Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 42 661.83₸ · invest 109 607.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −109 608 ₸ rare inputs

AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165966 instead of 0.161769; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075553 instead of 0.074093
Craft 2250611 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 42 429.76₸ · invest 107 449.92₸
profit on prices without salesat least −107 450 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165966 instead of 0.161769; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075553 instead of 0.074093
Craft 2280561 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 42 281.62₸ · invest 98 993.74₸
profit on prices without salesat least −98 994 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162241 instead of 0.161769; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.074093
Craft 2252367 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 39 822.68₸ · invest 106 966.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −106 966 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164078 instead of 0.161769; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074896 instead of 0.074093
Craft 2254989 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 39 445.18₸ · invest 100 393.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −100 394 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162241 instead of 0.161769; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.074093
Craft 2255660 · The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 39 085.91₸ · invest 98 915.97₸
profit on prices without salesat least −94 439 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162241 instead of 0.161769; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.074093
Craft 2285862 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 38 772.00₸ · invest 98 899.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −98 900 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162241 instead of 0.161769; Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074257 instead of 0.074093

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build