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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +11 810.43₸

Invest 23 394.86₸

Average return 35 205.29₸

ROI +50.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 54 306.59 ₸, profit at most −19 101.30 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

3 856.70 ₸

at 3 856.70

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

7 279.49 ₸

at 1 213.25

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

12 258.68 ₸

at 4 086.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 394.86 ₸ +11 810.43 (+50.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58 613.73 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 187.93 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

24 507.62 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

39 998.58 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 4 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 063.80 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8 601.67 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2282525 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 12 243.18₸ · invest 21 012.57₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2281585 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 12 206.98₸ · invest 22 849.98₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165510 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004720 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2253078 · The Achroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 12 194.07₸ · invest 22 133.88₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004703 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2285967 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 12 069.71₸ · invest 21 413.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163732 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004179 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2284341 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 11 988.29₸ · invest 21 839.63₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165392 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004684 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2269807 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 11 930.84₸ · invest 20 605.49₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164858 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004522 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2263781 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 11 918.66₸ · invest 21 248.62₸
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2257101 · The Ascent Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 11 715.81₸ · invest 22 032.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165318 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004662 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2284858 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 11 624.10₸ · invest 22 147.57₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165349 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004671 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2285944 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 11 326.92₸ · invest 23 211.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2285957 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 11 297.09₸ · invest 24 567.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2250949 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 11 266.24₸ · invest 24 538.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164858 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004522 instead of 0.003736

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build