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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +21.63$

Invest 109.34$

Average return 130.96$

ROI +19.8%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 270.65 $, profit at most −139.69 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

35.97 $

at 35.97

Steam

×9

MAG-7 | Justice

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

73.37 $

at 8.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.34 $ +21.63 (+19.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

130.97 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Player Two

Factory New

float up to 0.058799

173.77 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Victoria

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

134.77 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.23 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.68 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2259611 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 21.14$ · invest 98.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New); Glock-18 | Bullet Queen: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2259612 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 20.32$ · invest 95.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New); Glock-18 | Bullet Queen: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079908 instead of 0.076256
Craft 2264443 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 19.72$ · invest 89.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New); Glock-18 | Bullet Queen: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078124 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build