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The Ascent Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +13.57$

Invest 52.64$

Average return 66.21$

ROI +25.8%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 133.43 $, profit at most −67.23 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

2.76 $

at 0.92

Steam

×7

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0226

49.88 $

at 7.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.64 $ +13.57 (+25.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

132.14 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

74.63 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

106.60 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.010135

14.81 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

5.32 $ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ascent Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The Cache Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +10.41 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ascent Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 31 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2250609 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 18.04$ · invest 62.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −62 $ rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2286145 · The eSports 2013 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 17.43$ · invest 60.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2270794 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.79$ · invest 58.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2285794 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.57$ · invest 58.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2279465 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.51$ · invest 57.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2273635 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.46$ · invest 58.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022503 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2272564 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.45$ · invest 57.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2265964 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.29$ · invest 57.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2283726 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.29$ · invest 57.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022502 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2284116 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.24$ · invest 57.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022521 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2267346 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15.07$ · invest 58.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2268368 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.94$ · invest 58.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2275921 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.88$ · invest 58.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2271723 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.78$ · invest 58.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2255657 · The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.61$ · invest 60.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2248775 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.54$ · invest 55.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2274470 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.49$ · invest 52.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −49 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2285859 · The Spy Tech Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.48$ · invest 61.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −59 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2281243 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.10$ · invest 63.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −61 $ rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022517 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2281633 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 14.02$ · invest 51.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2285389 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.97$ · invest 51.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2283324 · The Radiant Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.95$ · invest 51.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2278093 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.91$ · invest 52.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2254986 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.83$ · invest 65.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −65 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2264771 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.82$ · invest 52.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2263874 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.71$ · invest 51.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2275173 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.69$ · invest 51.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)
Craft 2284413 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.63$ · invest 51.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2258356 · The Boreal Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.62$ · invest 51.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)
Craft 2284953 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.59$ · invest 52.92$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022662
Craft 2283013 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 13.54$ · invest 53.36$
profit on prices without salesat least −50 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022629 instead of 0.022662

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ascent Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build