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The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +32.84₴

Invest 126.01₴

Average return 158.85₴

ROI +26.1%

Chance of profit 51%

With float: invest at least 293.79 ₴, profit at most −134.94 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

47.21 ₴

at 7.87

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Copperflage

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

50.89 ₴

at 16.96

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

27.91 ₴

at 27.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 126.01 ₴ +32.84 (+26.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 51%
Losing outcome 4%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Factory New

float up to 0.062533

142.50 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

219.33 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

251.74 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

85.81 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.048533

377.83 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

230.38 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187599

47.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.53 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.54 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2257675 · The Boreal Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 35.11₴ · invest 119.86₴
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080623 instead of 0.074830; XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New): float at most 0.009295 instead of 0.004227
Craft 2258202 · The Boreal Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 34.70₴ · invest 111.88₴
FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.074830; XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New): float at most 0.006363 instead of 0.004227
Craft 2258229 · The Boreal Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 34.06₴ · invest 120.28₴
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077660 instead of 0.074830; XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New): float at most 0.006703 instead of 0.004227
Craft 2257849 · The Boreal Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 33.95₴ · invest 119.27₴
XM1014 | Slipstream (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075699 instead of 0.074830; XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New): float at most 0.004987 instead of 0.004227

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build