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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +56 625.97₸

Invest 133 344.35₸

Average return 189 970.32₸

ROI +42.5%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 321 111.76 ₸, profit at most −131 141.44 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −106 710 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

87 142.80 ₸

at 14 523.80

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

25 880.05 ₸

at 8 626.68

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

20 321.50 ₸

at 20 321.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 133 344.35 ₸ +56 625.97 (+42.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −88 945 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

34 584.77 ₸

at 11 528.26

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

72 619.00 ₸

at 14 523.80

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

17 253.37 ₸

at 8 626.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 124 457.14 ₸ +36 670.51 (+29.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −81 416 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

69 169.54 ₸

at 11 528.26

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

43 571.40 ₸

at 14 523.80

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

8 626.68 ₸

at 8 626.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121 367.63 ₸ +25 338.69 (+20.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −206 004 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

14 523.80 ₸

at 14 523.80

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

162 571.97 ₸

at 20 321.50

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

33 346.83 ₸

at 33 346.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 210 442.60 ₸ +51 634.49 (+24.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −128 642 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

72 619.00 ₸

at 14 523.80

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

17 253.37 ₸

at 8 626.68

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

60 964.49 ₸

at 20 321.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 150 836.85 ₸ +53 554.85 (+35.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

102 097.53 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

202 157.85 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 987.99 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

399 958.42 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +43 094.08 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +54 327.07 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2260831 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 72 317.63₸ · invest 91 166.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −91 166 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164752 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075131 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2283467 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 66 819.35₸ · invest 88 232.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −88 233 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169312 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076717 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2263601 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 64 974.09₸ · invest 100 555.23₸
profit on prices without salesat least −100 555 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161801 instead of 0.162462
Craft 2270569 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 62 399.13₸ · invest 128 773.26₸
profit on prices without salesat least −128 773 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162965 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074509 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2272352 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 61 785.54₸ · invest 80 150.35₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 100 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166579 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075766 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2265715 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 59 805.70₸ · invest 147 918.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −147 918 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163663 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074752 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2279200 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 59 342.67₸ · invest 160 345.65₸
profit on prices without salesat least −144 776 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163909 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2284817 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 58 593.04₸ · invest 174 127.06₸
profit on prices without salesat least −163 123 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163174 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074582 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2283847 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 57 259.67₸ · invest 156 840.77₸
profit on prices without salesat least −149 223 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165350 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075339 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2271492 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 56 517.25₸ · invest 134 943.94₸
profit on prices without salesat least −125 140 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162802 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074453 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2264601 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 55 146.14₸ · invest 160 541.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −140 368 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164526 instead of 0.162462
Craft 2274243 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 55 102.44₸ · invest 171 217.90₸
profit on prices without salesat least −171 218 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164583 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075072 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2281999 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 54 947.39₸ · invest 161 781.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −161 781 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163909 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074838 instead of 0.074334
Craft 2269224 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 54 801.97₸ · invest 156 469.06₸
profit on prices without salesat least −156 469 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165350 instead of 0.162462; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075339 instead of 0.074334

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build