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The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +24.70$

Invest 214.13$

Average return 238.83$

ROI +11.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 509.43 $, profit at most −270.60 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

131.96 $

at 26.39

Steam

×3

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

38.01 $

at 12.67

Steam

×2

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

44.16 $

at 22.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.13 $ +24.70 (+11.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

25.00 $

at 25.00

Steam

×5

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

131.96 $

at 26.39

Steam

×3

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

38.01 $

at 12.67

Steam

×1

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

22.08 $

at 22.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 217.05 $ +20.09 (+9.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

233.21 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

296.61 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474.79 $ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

94.01 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.57 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build