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The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +4 347.48₴

Invest 4 239.85₴

Average return 8 587.33₴

ROI +102.5%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 10 740.79 ₴, profit at most −2 153.46 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 671 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

266.92 ₴

at 266.92

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

3 680.73 ₴

at 460.09

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

292.20 ₴

at 292.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 239.85 ₴ +4 347.48 (+102.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −555 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

460.09 ₴

at 460.09

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

876.59 ₴

at 292.20

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

4 279.30 ₴

at 713.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 615.98 ₴ +224.90 (+4.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −738 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

920.18 ₴

at 460.09

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

876.59 ₴

at 292.20

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

3 566.08 ₴

at 713.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 362.85 ₴ +821.33 (+15.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −922 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

1 380.27 ₴

at 460.09

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

876.59 ₴

at 292.20

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

2 852.87 ₴

at 713.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 109.73 ₴ +1 417.76 (+27.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 105 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

1 840.37 ₴

at 460.09

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

876.59 ₴

at 292.20

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

2 139.65 ₴

at 713.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 856.60 ₴ +2 014.20 (+41.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 936.73 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

2 603.73 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

8 673.31 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

3 971.10 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 671.24 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4 143.62 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2261743 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 4 418.56₴ · invest 4 581.82₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 600 ₴ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.075746; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.005028
Craft 2267198 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4 323.26₴ · invest 4 591.50₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 301 ₴ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2266902 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 4 319.05₴ · invest 4 314.12₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 956 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2266524 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4 302.09₴ · invest 4 601.51₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 043 ₴ rare inputs

AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075746; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.005028
Craft 2266337 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4 245.19₴ · invest 4 305.82₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 774 ₴ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2267167 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4 231.10₴ · invest 4 236.95₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 999 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075254 instead of 0.075746; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004597 instead of 0.005028
Craft 2267022 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 4 219.93₴ · invest 4 207.91₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 799 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2266985 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 4 176.18₴ · invest 4 226.93₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 843 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2266742 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 4 162.06₴ · invest 4 235.15₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 857 ₴ rare inputs

USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2266458 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 4 114.36₴ · invest 4 215.12₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 904 ₴ rare inputs

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074133 instead of 0.075746; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003616 instead of 0.005028

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build