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The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +98.75$

Invest 104.79$

Average return 203.53$

ROI +94.2%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 269.63 $, profit at most −66.10 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −61 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

92.12 $

at 10.24

Steam

×1

AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1743

12.67 $

at 12.67

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.79 $ +98.75 (+94.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

399.02 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

57.92 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

474.79 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.019692

94.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +93.17 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2266394 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 99.51$ · invest 97.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 2266301 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 98.62$ · invest 98.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −67 $ rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested)
Craft 2266786 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 98.28$ · invest 113.35$
profit on prices without salesat least −91 $ rare inputs

USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004115 instead of 0.007408
Craft 2266493 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 95.83$ · invest 96.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −60 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build