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The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 169.20₴

Invest 1 960.64₴

Average return 3 129.84₴

ROI +59.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 4 832.98 ₴, profit at most −1 703.14 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

1 272.33 ₴

at 141.37

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

688.32 ₴

at 688.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 960.64 ₴ +1 169.20 (+59.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 759 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

706.85 ₴

at 141.37

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

381.51 ₴

at 381.51

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

2 753.26 ₴

at 688.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 841.62 ₴ +139.87 (+3.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 207 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

74.13 ₴

at 74.13

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

706.85 ₴

at 141.37

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

1 892.03 ₴

at 630.68

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

688.32 ₴

at 688.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 361.32 ₴ +407.26 (+12.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 671.85 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 630.32 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 761.24 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120999

7 405.69 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5 935.00 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 068.16 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Falchion Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +365.57 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 185.07 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2256037 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 1 125.20₴ · invest 1 753.84₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2268388 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 1 092.73₴ · invest 2 059.12₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build