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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +688.35₸

Invest 28 108.45₸

Average return 28 796.80₸

ROI +2.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 72 895.24 ₸, profit at most −44 098.43 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5624

25 916.93 ₸

at 2 879.66

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5624

2 191.52 ₸

at 2 191.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28 108.45 ₸ +688.35 (+2.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

33 808.23 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

36 303.67 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

16 523.16 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

14 796.03 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 410.09 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −302.16 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2269042 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 723.58₸ · invest 28 476.84₸
profit on prices without salesat least −419 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.632304 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2262824 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 723.31₸ · invest 31 758.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −1 727 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.580926 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2269277 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 699.49₸ · invest 27 483.23₸
rare inputs

MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.569620 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2268998 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 675.07₸ · invest 28 589.46₸
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2268515 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 661.28₸ · invest 27 686.13₸
Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2269347 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 657.10₸ · invest 31 721.79₸
M4A1-S | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.536159 instead of 0.562499
Craft 2268562 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 654.97₸ · invest 27 822.49₸
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.661644 instead of 0.562499

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build