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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +3 498.35₴

Invest 8 689.97₴

Average return 12 188.32₴

ROI +40.3%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 21 130.50 ₴, profit at most −8 942.19 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 239 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

710.58 ₴

at 710.58

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

1 730.44 ₴

at 576.81

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

6 248.94 ₴

at 1 041.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8 689.97 ₴ +3 498.35 (+40.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 948 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

358.16 ₴

at 358.16

Steam

×7

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

4 974.06 ₴

at 710.58

Steam

×2

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

1 153.63 ₴

at 576.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 485.85 ₴ +216.07 (+3.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 094 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

4 263.48 ₴

at 710.58

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

1 730.44 ₴

at 576.81

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

1 041.49 ₴

at 1 041.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 035.41 ₴ +1 234.05 (+17.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 723 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

3 552.90 ₴

at 710.58

Steam

×3

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

1 730.44 ₴

at 576.81

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Tranquility

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

2 082.98 ₴

at 1 041.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 366.32 ₴ +1 686.91 (+22.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 885.26 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

4 950.53 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

5 937.92 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

5 871.17 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 785.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 145.63 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2271663 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 532.03₴ · invest 8 692.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 206 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)
Craft 2285659 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 483.51₴ · invest 8 833.91₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 254 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076485 instead of 0.076795; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005675 instead of 0.005946
Craft 2282543 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 470.40₴ · invest 8 800.07₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 523 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)
Craft 2278525 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 426.48₴ · invest 9 627.37₴
profit on prices without salesat least −7 533 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076405 instead of 0.076795; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005605 instead of 0.005946
Craft 2285991 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3 419.69₴ · invest 9 366.89₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 502 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076530 instead of 0.076795; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005714 instead of 0.005946
Craft 2285341 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 3 399.82₴ · invest 8 705.53₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 550 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076750 instead of 0.076795; XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): float at most 0.005906 instead of 0.005946

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build