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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +4 574.19₸

Invest 37 541.88₸

Average return 42 116.07₸

ROI +12.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 96 385.09 ₸, profit at most −54 269.02 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Dual Berettas | Melondrama

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

32 541.69 ₸

at 3 615.74

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

5 000.20 ₸

at 5 000.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37 541.88 ₸ +4 574.19 (+12.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

37 683.48 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 270.98 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

46 102.18 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

49 976.90 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 226.24 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 253.77 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2259245 · The Breakout Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 4 506.83₸ · invest 43 885.70₸
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build