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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +265.85₽

Invest 397.24₽

Average return 663.09₽

ROI +66.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 960.39 ₽, profit at most −297.30 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

144.24 ₽

at 24.04

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

253.00 ₽

at 63.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 397.24 ₽ +265.85 (+66.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 8%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

116.32 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

279.11 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

174.62 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.053199

195.47 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

103.91 ₽ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

2 546.17 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

1 078.24 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 557.33 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

473.75 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

572.23 ₽ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +160.19 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +219.67 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2279410 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 281.23₽ · invest 400.06₽
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.163881
Craft 2273577 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 270.12₽ · invest 598.66₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165153 instead of 0.163881
Craft 2272520 · The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 267.04₽ · invest 422.92₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.163881
Craft 2282549 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 264.49₽ · invest 508.72₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.163881
Craft 2262584 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 264.19₽ · invest 387.99₽
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163723 instead of 0.163881

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build