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The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +24.42₴

Invest 437.21₴

Average return 461.63₴

ROI +5.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 046.48 ₴, profit at most −584.85 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3850

138.53 ₴

at 34.63

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

237.79 ₴

at 47.56

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3850

60.89 ₴

at 60.89

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 437.21 ₴ +24.42 (+5.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

205.45 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 135.95 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

220.27 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137812

614.05 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Desolate Space

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

654.40 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098437

602.66 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −53.16 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.32 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2270642 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 25.25₴ · invest 428.38₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388682 instead of 0.385091; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178528 instead of 0.166728
Craft 2262861 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 23.18₴ · invest 437.21₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn) instead of Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn)
Craft 2257806 · The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 23.02₴ · invest 416.24₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388404 instead of 0.385091; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.177615 instead of 0.166728

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build