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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +40.97₽

Invest 787.87₽

Average return 828.84₽

ROI +5.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 1 894.66 ₽, profit at most −1 065.81 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×4

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3838

261.64 ₽

at 65.41

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

449.10 ₽

at 89.82

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3838

77.13 ₽

at 77.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 787.87 ₽ +40.97 (+5.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

388.02 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.068571

2 145.44 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

416.02 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

764.96 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

841.67 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

float up to 0.171428

443.18 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 only The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −99.35 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5.11 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2269973 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 41.13₽ · invest 771.27₽
rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.389101 instead of 0.383891; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.179904 instead of 0.162786
Craft 2270671 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 40.42₽ · invest 837.95₽
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386606 instead of 0.383891; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171708 instead of 0.162786
Craft 2270006 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 40.12₽ · invest 823.69₽
rare inputs

SG 553 | Triarch (Well-Worn) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385091 instead of 0.383891; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166728 instead of 0.162786
Craft 2248331 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 38.89₽ · invest 838.74₽
rare inputs

AUG | Random Access (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386298 instead of 0.383891; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170693 instead of 0.162786

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build