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The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +255.66₴

Invest 736.91₴

Average return 992.57₴

ROI +34.7%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 1 868.25 ₴, profit at most −875.68 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −462 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

588.37 ₴

at 65.37

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

148.54 ₴

at 148.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 736.91 ₴ +255.66 (+34.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −731 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

457.62 ₴

at 65.37

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

358.77 ₴

at 179.39

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Plague

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

215.99 ₴

at 215.99

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 032.38 ₴ +65.16 (+6.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

369.06 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

877.12 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

1 147.20 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

359.62 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 652.49 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | ZX Spectron

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

1 625.30 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Boost Protocol

Factory New

float up to 0.008039

800.71 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Spider Lily

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

3 996.55 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

533.85 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Mount Fuji

Factory New

float up to 0.010784

1 466.93 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +63.01 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +234.80 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2256054 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 260.92₴ · invest 727.95₴
profit on prices without salesat least −463 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004304 instead of 0.007239
Craft 2255734 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 256.54₴ · invest 773.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −501 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.004304 instead of 0.007239
Craft 2270810 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 255.80₴ · invest 740.33₴
profit on prices without salesat least −504 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): float at most 0.003703 instead of 0.007239

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build