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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +84.91₴

Invest 267.69₴

Average return 352.60₴

ROI +31.7%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 671.65 ₴, profit at most −319.05 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

27.91 ₴

at 27.91

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

22.48 ₴

at 22.48

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

217.30 ₴

at 27.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 267.69 ₴ +84.91 (+31.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 29%

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

528.64 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

520.55 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

336.99 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

256.90 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.033333

251.74 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

882.87 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.028888

377.83 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.027777

230.38 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.168333

47.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.87 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +62.79 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2273017 · The Gallery Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 91.08₴ · invest 256.55₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164324 instead of 0.169842; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074982 instead of 0.076901
Craft 2281941 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 89.92₴ · invest 260.69₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2272140 · The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 85.69₴ · invest 246.16₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166344 instead of 0.169842; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075685 instead of 0.076901
Craft 2278903 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 85.42₴ · invest 245.67₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164218 instead of 0.169842; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074945 instead of 0.076901
Craft 2271238 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 84.32₴ · invest 247.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2260605 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 84.22₴ · invest 261.54₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2262221 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 83.56₴ · invest 254.77₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174298 instead of 0.169842; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078451 instead of 0.076901
Craft 2281878 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 83.50₴ · invest 246.83₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164257 instead of 0.169842; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074959 instead of 0.076901
Craft 2268945 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 83.26₴ · invest 246.22₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164257 instead of 0.169842; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074959 instead of 0.076901
Craft 2281906 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 83.17₴ · invest 245.77₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166134 instead of 0.169842; UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075612 instead of 0.076901
Craft 2281813 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 82.06₴ · invest 257.13₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build