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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +91.86$

Invest 191.49$

Average return 283.35$

ROI +48.0%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 492.83 $, profit at most −209.48 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −191 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

168.55 $

at 18.73

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0859

22.94 $

at 22.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.49 $ +91.86 (+48.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −191 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1792

10.21 $

at 10.21

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0801

112.37 $

at 18.73

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0888

68.81 $

at 22.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.39 $ +66.83 (+34.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −189 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1747

20.42 $

at 10.21

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1747

31.45 $

at 15.72

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0875

137.62 $

at 22.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 189.49 $ +5.90 (+3.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −187 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1730

20.42 $

at 10.21

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

74.91 $

at 18.73

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0870

91.74 $

at 22.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 187.08 $ +58.57 (+31.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −184 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

30.64 $

at 10.21

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

15.72 $

at 15.72

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0861

137.62 $

at 22.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.98 $ +23.98 (+13.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

409.63 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

270.97 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

104.10 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

287.50 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +38.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +73.93 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2270454 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 98.66$ · invest 183.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −184 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076792
Craft 2269943 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 96.81$ · invest 181.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −178 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076792
Craft 2264973 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 95.43$ · invest 181.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −181 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076792
Craft 2270215 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 95.09$ · invest 190.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −179 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2259279 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 94.92$ · invest 200.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −191 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076792
Craft 2270680 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 94.54$ · invest 200.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −192 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.076792
Craft 2268454 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 91.76$ · invest 187.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076792
Craft 2270048 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 90.70$ · invest 194.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076792
Craft 2270106 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 90.15$ · invest 197.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −197 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076792

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build