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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +38.17₴

Invest 163.66₴

Average return 201.83₴

ROI +23.3%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 378.22 ₴, profit at most −176.39 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

39.28 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

69.27 ₴

at 34.63

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

55.12 ₴

at 9.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 163.66 ₴ +38.17 (+23.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

242.43 ₴

at 34.63

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

83.73 ₴

at 41.87

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

9.19 ₴

at 9.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 335.35 ₴ +7.04 (+2.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

19.64 ₴

at 19.64

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

242.43 ₴

at 34.63

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

9.19 ₴

at 9.19

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

29.37 ₴

at 29.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 300.62 ₴ +13.65 (+4.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 76%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

80.02 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.064999

92.89 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

107.91 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

85.22 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

147.92 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

369.06 ₴ 8.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

170.83 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.051999

1 147.20 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

359.62 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.190999

83.61 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.30 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.04 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2269895 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 42.61₴ · invest 168.39₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build