to all crafts

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +36 958.35₸

Invest 77 108.20₸

Average return 114 066.55₸

ROI +47.9%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 188 668.98 ₸, profit at most −74 602.43 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −77 108 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

11 098.67 ₸

at 11 098.67

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

51 430.84 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

14 578.69 ₸

at 14 578.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77 108.20 ₸ +36 958.35 (+47.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 963 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

13 621.05 ₸

at 4 540.35

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

22 197.33 ₸

at 11 098.67

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

32 144.27 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67 962.66 ₸ +31 654.82 (+46.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 851 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

9 080.70 ₸

at 4 540.35

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

22 197.33 ₸

at 11 098.67

Steam

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

38 573.13 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 69 851.16 ₸ +33 378.58 (+47.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 740 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

4 540.35 ₸

at 4 540.35

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

22 197.33 ₸

at 11 098.67

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

45 001.98 ₸

at 6 428.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71 739.66 ₸ +35 102.35 (+48.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

147 739.17 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 922.06 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

106 304.82 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81 274.33 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14 352.81 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29 433.63 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2284748 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 36 916.56₸ · invest 73 340.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 132 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076926 instead of 0.076987; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.006060 instead of 0.006113
Craft 2274241 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 36 614.86₸ · invest 78 038.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 593 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2273324 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 36 405.06₸ · invest 75 844.12₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 506 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076852 instead of 0.076987; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005996 instead of 0.006113
Craft 2281453 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 36 037.29₸ · invest 86 216.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −69 874 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076852 instead of 0.076987; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005996 instead of 0.006113
Craft 2264599 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 35 654.63₸ · invest 75 843.74₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 973 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076639 instead of 0.076987; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005809 instead of 0.006113
Craft 2284890 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 33 564.62₸ · invest 76 523.65₸
profit on prices without salesat least −72 346 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076478 instead of 0.076987; SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): float at most 0.005668 instead of 0.006113

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build