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The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1 110.09₸

Invest 4 784.57₸

Average return 5 894.66₸

ROI +23.2%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 11 680.33 ₸, profit at most −5 785.67 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

699.26 ₸

at 349.63

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

3 360.72 ₸

at 480.10

Steam

×1

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

724.59 ₸

at 724.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 784.57 ₸ +1 110.09 (+23.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3852

349.63 ₸

at 349.63

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

3 360.72 ₸

at 480.10

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Last Dive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

679.96 ₸

at 679.96

Steam

×1

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

724.59 ₸

at 724.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 114.90 ₸ +995.75 (+19.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −471 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

2 400.52 ₸

at 480.10

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Last Dive

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

679.96 ₸

at 679.96

Steam

×4

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

2 898.37 ₸

at 724.59

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 978.84 ₸ +779.70 (+13.0%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

4 052.50 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.039999

11 467.75 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

4 071.31 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Fever Dream

Factory New

float up to 0.068749

8 866.57 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 626.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Decimator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106249

9 549.10 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +191.46 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +834.92 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spectrum Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2270143 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1 183.80₸ · invest 4 472.25₸
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2256614 · The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1 158.39₸ · invest 4 369.52₸
rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386709 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172045 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2270037 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 1 143.43₸ · invest 4 674.68₸
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2270609 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 1 128.07₸ · invest 4 257.32₸
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2270759 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1 122.94₸ · invest 4 939.69₸
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386799 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172339 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2270439 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1 118.30₸ · invest 4 257.75₸
rare inputs

P90 | Vent Rush (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.387500 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174644 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2270506 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 1 118.23₸ · invest 4 565.31₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2269928 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1 103.12₸ · invest 4 257.32₸
rare inputs

Galil AR | Connexion (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386156 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170228 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2270198 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 1 100.07₸ · invest 4 252.67₸
rare inputs

MP7 | Just Smile (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2270477 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 1 098.90₸ · invest 4 241.72₸
rare inputs

P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386709 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172045 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2247628 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1 088.75₸ · invest 4 503.52₸
rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2269930 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 1 079.81₸ · invest 4 253.10₸
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Monster Call (Well-Worn) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384631 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165216 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2266382 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1 075.61₸ · invest 4 370.00₸
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385214 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167134 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2268446 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1 073.94₸ · invest 4 350.92₸
rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.385640 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168534 instead of 0.163052
Craft 2264959 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1 072.04₸ · invest 4 269.78₸
rare inputs

Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested) instead of M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.388109 instead of 0.383972; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176645 instead of 0.163052

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build